Commercial control and priorities / Lesson P05

Why $1 million in sales does not establish business value

A business with $1 million in sales isn't automatically worth $1 million, and revenue alone gives no reliable answer. Value depends on sustainable earnings, debt, assets, cash and working-capital needs, customer concentration and how dependent the business is on its owner. Start with those before discussing value, and get qualified advice.

By the end, you should be able to

  • Find the information missing from a revenue headline
  • Separate enterprise value, equity value and proceeds
  • Prepare a useful valuation evidence pack

Two businesses. Same sales. Very different questions.

One business generates $1 million in sales with repeat customers, clear processes and reliable collections. Another generates the same revenue through one customer, unpaid owner overtime and several low-margin projects.

Calling both businesses worth the same amount because their sales match ignores the work a buyer would actually acquire.

Business.gov.au describes several valuation approaches, including assets, comparable market evidence and earnings-based methods. The appropriate approach depends on the business and the purpose of the valuation.

Start with sustainable earnings

Separate reported profit from the earnings a buyer could reasonably expect to maintain. Check owner remuneration, one-off costs, non-recurring income and the cost of replacing work the owner currently does.

Do not add back every inconvenient expense. If a cost must continue to deliver the revenue, removing it can mislead the buyer. An adjustment needs an explanation and supporting records.

Also distinguish revenue, gross margin, contribution and net profit. Define the measure used before applying any multiple. A multiple of one measure cannot simply be transferred to another.

An illustrative sensitivity calculation

Imagine a business has $1 million in revenue and $180,000 of adjusted annual earnings under a clearly stated definition. For teaching only, consider hypothetical multiples of three and four times those earnings. They produce figures of $540,000 and $720,000.

Neither multiple is a market recommendation. The exercise shows how strongly the result depends on assumptions. If a buyer concludes sustainable earnings are only $120,000, the same hypothetical range becomes $360,000 to $480,000.

Before arguing about a multiple, investigate the earnings figure. Then seek relevant completed-transaction evidence, professional advice and a clear comparison of deal terms.

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